April 21, 2008 Focus on growth and hiring plans remain as optimism in the economy drops for small business owners, according to the open from American Express® small business monitor
NEW YORK, April 21, 2008 - More than one third of small business owners report plans to hire full or part/time staff over the next six months, but optimism is at the lowest point in the six-year history of the OPEN from American Express ® Small Business Monitor, a semi-annual survey of business owners.
The economy is cited by four in 10 small business owners (44%) as the issue that will most sway their decision on the next President of the United States, followed at a distance by homeland security (cited by 16%). "Like most Americans, SBOs are concerned about the uncertain economy, "said Susan Sobbott, president OPEN from American Express. "However, true to their resilient, entrepreneurial spirit, they tell us that they remain focused on opportunities for the future and growing their business." The most optimistic group of entrepreneurs, perhaps due to having endured downturns, is the over 60 age group. For these business owners the biggest challenge to growth is not an uncertain economy but the rising costs of doing business (27%). Nine in 10 of entrepreneurs over 60 (92%) describe themselves as seeing
"the glass as half-full" (vs. 86% overall).
Optimism among entrepreneurs about business prospects over the next six months has fallen. This spring, four in 10 business owners report a positive outlook (45%). That is down from 67% in spring 2007, 68% in spring 2006, 85% in spring 2005, 72% in spring 2004, 56% in spring 2003 and 64% in fall 2002. The number of entrepreneurs that see the economy improving over the next six months and expanding opportunities for their business has dropped sharply to 9% --the lowest level in the survey's
history.. This is down from 21% in spring 2007, 23% in spring 2006, 36% in spring 2005, 34% in spring 2004, 21% in spring 2003 and 19% in fall 2002.
Half of business owners (52%) do not believe the economic stimulus package signed by President Bush will help small businesses compared to 30% who believe it will help.
Growth is Still on the Agenda; Highest for Those with Hiring Plans
Hiring plans are in the cards for one-third of entrepreneurs this spring (38%), on par with 36% last spring and up from 31% last fall. Among those business owners with hiring plans over the next six months, eight in 10 (80%) plan to grow their business. Nearly seven in 10 entrepreneurs with hiring plans (68%) say they need to hire to handle their growing business. This number is greater among entrepreneurs in the South (77%). It is also greater among male business owners as more than seven out of 10 plan to hire for this reason (73% vs. 48% of female owners). More than half of entrepreneurs (57%) will hire to help increase business volume. Four in 10 (41%) will hire because they need seasonal help (41%), one-in-three say they will hire because they have finally found the right candidate for the position (31%), or because they have a new business venture (26%). On a more cautionary note, four in 10 business owners plan to cut back on staff (41%), a sharp increase from spring 2007 when only 29% planned to cut back. As entrepreneurs look to grow their business they have not lost sight of their commitment to customers and 86% say they differentiate their business by offering exceptional customer service. Although capital investment plans are down year over year, half of all business owners still plan to make investments as a way to grow their business over the next six months (53% vs. 60% last spring). The greatest number of entrepreneurs will invest in the area of technology (36%). In addition to technology, other investment areas include office equipment (17%), manufacturing/production equipment and office furnishings (each 13%) and real estate (8%).
Mounting Concerns about Cash Flow and the Size of Accounts Receivable
Among all entrepreneurs one in four (24%) entrepreneurs report their accounts receivable are too high, nearly double in fall 2007 (13%). As a tactic to improve cash flow, 26% are most likely to get aggressive in collecting accounts receivable. One in five (22%) will raise prices (nearly double the 12% who said so in fall 2007). Others will offer customer discounts for early payment (13%), look for special payment terms (10%), or accept a credit card in order to improve cash flow (8%). On average, small business owners are able to project cash on hand 5 months out. "In times of economic downturn, one of the first red flags for a small business is accounts receivable," said Sobbott. "As accounts receivable grow, business owners' available cash to invest in their business can be affected. They can substantially reduce credit risk and increase cash flow by giving customers the option to pay by credit card to receive payments faster and minimize growth in accounts receivable."
Rising Gas and Energy Costs Take a Bite out of Sales
More than half of entrepreneurs do not believe the downturn in the housing market has negatively impacted their business (54%). However this number has dropped from 70% in spring 2007. The pressures of rising costs and an uncertain economy are also impacting healthcare coverage and the ability to save for retirement. Nearly two-thirds of bosses (65%) agree it is important to offer healthcare coverage to their employees, down slightly from 69% in spring 2007. However, the number of business owners offering healthcare benefits to employees has dropped to 66% down from 71% in fall 2007. According to the survey, 71% of entrepreneurs report they are worried about their ability to save for the retirement they want, up from last spring (67%). Women business owners are more likely to be concerned about saving for retirement than men (75% vs. 67%).
Entrepreneurs are Daydream Believers
Though entrepreneurs are upbeat, when time is tight they tend to take their health for granted. Seven in 10 entrepreneurs (71%) report they are very busy and too often take their health for granted. Women business owners are most likely to express this sentiment (78% vs. 66% of men). Entrepreneurs are focusing on developing new ideas for business growth. Just under half of entrepreneurs (47%) spend more than 10 hours per week thinking about new ideas for their business and innovation; on average they spend 13 hours per week thinking creatively. Those business owners currently recruiting for an open position spend 19 hours per week thinking about new ideas. More than six in 10 entrepreneurs (61%) describe themselves as a morning person who gets their best work done early. In order to spark creativity, more than one-third of business owners (38%) "daydream." Business owners' best ideas come to them during downtime (34%). The ideal methods for brainstorming differ between the sexes. Male business owners' best ideas come to them during downtime (37%) whereas women come up with their best ideas on the way to work (26%). Additional survey results are available by contacting OPEN from American Express.
Survey Methodology
About OPEN from American Express
American Express Company (
www.americanexpress.com) is a leading global payments, network and travel company founded in 1850.
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